Day-to-Day Murders in the nation Decline Thirty-Seven Percent In Claudia Sheinbaum, Per Official Figures

The mean figure of everyday murders each month in the country has decreased by thirty-seven percent since President Claudia Sheinbaum took office, as stated by recent administrative statistics. Nevertheless, security specialists have advised that murder figures might not signal better national safety.

Notable Reduction in Per-Day Averages

There was an mean of nearly 55 killings a day in the month of November versus roughly 87 when the President assumed the presidency in September. This data was shared by the head of the nation's federal public security agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s regular press briefing on a recent Tuesday.

“The result in murders that we’ve had in these past months is extremely notable,” the President remarked, adding that in November the least number of murders were recorded for any November in the past decade.

Recent Context and Government Strategy

Violent drug cartel internal conflicts, combined with the administration's highly military operations to take on the drug gangs, have caused Mexico’s murder numbers escalate in recent years. The rate peaked at a peak of 36,773 killings in 2020, per the nation's official data agency.

That resulted in Mexico a murder rate more than 4x higher than the United States. However, homicides have been on the decline, declining to 33,550 the previous year. Claudia Sheinbaum has linked her national security strategy for an seemingly more pronounced decline in killings this year.

At a press conference in August, the President declared: “There is a plan, we have tracking of the strategy, and we have detailed monitoring locality by locality in some cases. The approach is effective. And we have to persist at it every day.”

The central elements of Sheinbaum’s security plan involve:

• Bolstering Mexico’s domestic security force.
• Advancing information gathering and investigation work.
• Increased cooperation between various departments.

Expert Warnings and Statistical Limitations

However, public safety experts warned that relying on homicide data to assess the situation of improved security was problematic. This is particularly true in light of the rise in other crimes such as people going missing.

“It would be very good news if this were a decrease, but I think we can’t just concentrate on the homicide data and conclude: ‘Alright, great,’” stated Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an expert on Mexican organised crime. “I would be guardedly positive.”

As reported by the policy analysis thinktank Mexico Evalúa, killings overall fell by more than 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year compared with the identical period last year. However, missing persons cases have risen by 15% and in some states have risen by as much as 200%.

“Data on murders is no longer reliable for estimating the reality of violence,” argued Armando Vargas, a safety expert at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have police and prosecutors who do not have the capacity or the desire to properly identify and classify bodies. Secondly, organized [criminals] … have the ability to conceal violence through abductions.”

Vargas pointed out that relying on month-to-month averages of daily homicides was similarly concerning because it may mask periods when there were particularly spiking levels of killings.

“Using the daily average renders spikes of violent crime invisible,” he concluded.

Detentions and Seizures as Metrics of Progress

An area where the government can point to the effectiveness of its security plan is on arrests and confiscations. Almost 40,000 suspects were apprehended between last October and November 2025 for high-impact crimes, according to government figures. Over 20,000 weapons were confiscated and 311 tons of narcotics seized.

“Donald Trump cannot accuse President Sheinbaum of inaction, because in reality she is doing a lot with these many thousands of arrests, thousands of seizures, and all the operational degrading of criminal groups. It’s extremely politically advantageous,” commented Vargas.

Ongoing Unrest and Public Anger

However in spite of these measures, Mexico is still plagued by severe bloodshed, with several regions in the throes of cartel-related violence. Recently there was a notable killing of a well-liked mayor in the state of Michoacan, one of 10 mayors assassinated in the last 12 months.

A short time later, many thousands of youth demonstrated in Mexico City and across the nation to voice their anger at corruption and narco-violence.

“The administration shares [data] in a manner to create a picture of security. Politically it’s very effective, socially it’s extremely questionable,” Vargas remarked.